Markets spent the week vacillating between conflicting economic signals, leaving most major currencies trapped in choppy, directionless trades as traders tried to find conviction. The dollar started paring losses on Monday on softer inflation expectations, only to recover briefly on Tuesday after disappointing retail sales initially sparked the sell-off. Wednesday’s headline jobs report – 130,000 payrolls versus just 40,000 expected – sparked another trip as the headline faced massive downward revisions showing only 181,000 jobs were added in 2025 instead of the 584,000 initially reported. volatility, pushing inflation expectations ahead of earlier Fed rate cuts. Apart from the US data, Japan’s political drama dominated currency flows as Prime Minister Takaichi’s landslide election victory sparked warnings of intervention, supporting the yen all week. Meanwhile, spreading fears about AI-induced disruption sent equity markets lower on Thursday, briefly boosting safe-haven demand before risk reversed on Friday. The result? Most currencies finished mixed with little weekly change, reflecting a market caught between competing narratives on growth, inflation and central bank policy. Only the yen and the franc managed to clearly direct the movement, while the rest of the rates went sideways after five days of headline-induced noise.
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